Bell Curve
May 9, 2025

Lightspeed Cross-Post: Can Ethereum Scale The L1? | Weekly Roundup

This Bell Curve episode, a cross-post from Lightspeed, features hosts Jack Cuban and Mert Mumtaz diving into Solana's recent bug fix, Ethereum's strategic pivot towards L1 scaling, and the evolving dynamics of Solana's DEX landscape. Mert Mumtaz is a prominent figure in the Solana ecosystem, known for his technical insights.

1. Solana's Bug Patch: Coordination, Not Centralization

  • "The bug was around the confidential transfers/balances feature on Solana... there was a bug where you could mint more tokens on Token-2022 type tokens on Solana that use this plug-in."
  • "I think just my problem with it is people conflate coordinating efficiency with centralization. That's just not how it works."
  • A critical bug in Solana's new confidential transfers feature (affecting Token-2022) was discovered that could have allowed unauthorized token minting. The patch was coordinated privately with validators by the Solana Foundation, Jito, Anza, and others before any exploitation, a standard practice for security vulnerabilities.
  • Predictably, this led to online criticisms of Solana's centralization. However, the hosts argue that efficient coordination on a critical security fix is not evidence of centralization, but rather of aligned incentives among node operators to protect the network.
  • The discussion highlighted that the focus should be on client diversity (where Ethereum has multiple clients versus Solana's effective single client) rather than misinterpreting rapid patching as a centralization flaw. The actual patching communication was described as "messy," suggesting room for more standardized protocols.

2. Ethereum's L1 Scaling "Pivot": A Tall Order?

  • "Can ETH make this pivot? Like, is an ETH pivot to being a performant L1 and getting back lots of the app activity and revenue that it's basically lost over the past couple of years with the rollup-centric roadmap? Like, can ETH pull this off in your view?"
  • "If we mean that they can actually scale the L1 more than it is scaled today, then yes, they can certainly do that. Although I do think the discourse around this severely underestimates how hard that is because, you know, we know a thing or two about scaling L1s, and it's not going to be as easy as a nice roadmap."
  • Ethereum is undergoing a "re-prioritization" (though many call it a pivot) to scale its L1, driven by concerns over lost activity, revenue, and ETH's stagnant price performance compared to competitors like Solana.
  • While scaling the L1 is technically feasible, the hosts believe it will be a difficult and lengthy process, likely underestimated by the community. The narrative alone might provide a temporary price boost for ETH.
  • Significant skepticism remains about whether this pivot can truly bring substantial activity and revenue back to Ethereum L1, especially as it continues its rollup-centric roadmap and faces stiff competition from more performant L1s and its own L2s.

3. Solana's DEX Landscape: Enter Sulfi & Meritocracy

  • "Last week we learned that Sulfi was developed by Ellipsus Labs... some Solana DeFi OGs who developed an exchange called Phoenix and are working on an L2 called Atlas."
  • "It actually is a really sweet demonstration of why blockchains are cool because they just got that just by being better... They just did it purely on meritocracy."
  • Ellipsus Labs, the team behind the Phoenix exchange, was revealed as the creators of Sulfi, a previously anonymous "shadow DEX" that gained significant routing volume on Jupiter by offering superior pricing.
  • Sulfi's success, achieved without prior announcement purely on technical merit, underscores the permissionless and meritocratic nature of DeFi on Solana.
  • This development, alongside new entrants like 1inch, signals increasing competition in Solana's DEX space. Sulfi's model, likely using protocol-owned liquidity, also hints at a potential shift from traditional AMMs for more liquid pairs.

4. The Performance-Decentralization Flywheel

  • "The most performant L1 will also be the most decentralized, which maybe is typically not how we think about the trade-offs between performance and decentralization."
  • "When I say the most performant will have the most decentralization, what that really means is the one with the most activity will have the most decentralization, of which performance is a necessary condition."
  • Mert Mumtaz posits that the most performant L1 will ultimately become the most decentralized. High performance drives network activity, which in turn generates more fees and revenue.
  • This revenue creates strong economic incentives for more validators to join and maintain the network, fostering genuine decentralization beyond just low hardware requirements.
  • Solana’s architecture, which allows for increasing validator numbers without a proportional hit to performance, is uniquely positioned to capitalize on this dynamic, challenging the traditional blockchain trilemma.

Key Takeaways:

  • The crypto landscape is a dynamic battleground where technical execution and economic incentives, not just narratives, will determine long-term winners.
  • Efficiency Isn't Centralization: Rapid, coordinated responses to network threats are signs of a healthy, aligned ecosystem, not inherent centralization.
  • L1 Scaling is a Grind: Ethereum's path to a more performant L1 is fraught with technical challenges and competitive pressure, with no guarantee of reclaiming its past dominance in on-chain activity.
  • Performance Pays for Decentralization: The L1s that can deliver sustained high performance will attract activity and revenue, creating the strongest economic incentives for a truly decentralized validator set.

For further insights and detailed discussions, watch the full podcast: Link

This Lightspeed cross-post episode unpacks the Solana bug fix controversy and Ethereum's strategic pivot to L1 scaling, offering critical perspectives for investors navigating the evolving landscape of high-performance blockchains.

Solana's Bug Fix: Efficiency vs. Centralization Concerns

The episode kicks off with a discussion about a bug related to zero-knowledge proofs (ZKPs)—cryptographic methods allowing verification of information without revealing the underlying data—in Solana's confidential transfers feature. Mert Mumtaz explains the bug could have allowed minting more tokens using a new, largely unused plugin. He details that the Solana Foundation, Jito, Anza, and others privately coordinated with validators to patch this vulnerability in mid-April, a process he deems standard for critical software issues. Mert, drawing on his technical background, argues that the swift resolution demonstrated efficient coordination among aligned node operators, not centralization. He states, "People conflate disorganization with decentralization or not being able to execute or just having different incentives with decentralization, which is just as wrong as thinking that just because you're centralized you can move fast."

  • The bug was in the confidential transfers/balances feature, specifically affecting "token 22 type tokens" using a new plugin.
  • The patch process involved private disclosure to validators, verification of the patch, and then release, which Mert notes took a few days.
  • Criticisms arose that this rapid coordination implied Solana was centralized, which Mert refutes by pointing out that even the controversial SIMD-228 proposal didn't pass despite support from major entities, indicating a lack of centralized control.

Jack Kubinec, while acknowledging such patching processes are precedented (even in Bitcoin's history), expresses concern. He describes the communication for the patch—DMs, emails, Discord, and Twitter hashes—as "messy" for a platform aspiring to be the financial system's rails, suggesting the process might be "too decentralized" or lacking standardization for critical updates. Mert counters that the real discussion should be about client diversity, which Ethereum has and Solana currently lacks (though Fire Dancer might change this), rather than simple centralization.

Actionable Insight: Crypto AI investors should understand that rapid bug fixes in decentralized networks often involve coordinated efforts that can be misconstrued as centralization. The focus should be on the robustness of the security response and the underlying mechanisms for consensus, rather than solely on the speed of coordination. Researchers should monitor the development of client diversity on Solana as a key factor for long-term network resilience.

Ethereum's L1 Scaling Pivot: Too Little, Too Late?

The conversation shifts to Ethereum's "reprioritization" towards scaling its L1 (Layer 1), the base blockchain. Mert Mumtaz finds it "fascinating that they were actually reluctant to call it even a pivot." He believes that while the narrative of L1 scaling might positively impact ETH's price, achieving significant L1 scalability is a difficult and lengthy process. He questions if this will be enough to recapture substantial on-chain activity and revenue, especially with competitors like Solana also advancing and Ethereum's own L2s (Layer 2s)—secondary protocols built atop an L1 for scalability—attracting users. Mert emphasizes that a performant L1 is actually crucial for a successful L2 strategy, as L2s derive value from the assets and security of the L1 they extend.

  • Mert suggests that while the narrative of L1 scaling could boost ETH price, the actual technical feat of scaling the L1 sufficiently to compete for high-volume activity is challenging and time-consuming.
  • He notes Solana is also actively scaling its L1, with Agave 2.2 aiming to increase block space by 20% and a goal to double it by year-end.

Jack Kubinec expresses skepticism about the pivot's effectiveness without fundamental changes to Ethereum's rollup-centric roadmap—its strategy focusing on L2 solutions. He highlights concerns that L2s might be "parasitic" by capturing value (e.g., sequencer fees) while paying minimal fees back to the L1. Jack also points out the lack of change in leadership and the prevailing "academic, cipher punk ideals" within the Ethereum community, questioning if they can execute a pragmatic shift towards revenue generation, a term he notes is rarely heard in Ethereum's public communications.

Actionable Insight: Investors should critically assess whether Ethereum's L1 scaling initiatives translate into tangible increases in L1 transaction revenue and user activity, or if value continues to accrue primarily to L2s and competing L1s. Researchers should analyze the economic interplay between Ethereum's L1 and its L2 ecosystem, particularly focusing on mechanisms for value capture by the L1.

The Evolving Solana DEX Landscape and the Sulfi Revelation

The discussion turns to the dynamic DEX (Decentralized Exchange) landscape on Solana. A key development was the public disclosure that Ellipsus Labs, known for the Phoenix exchange, is behind Sulfi, a previously "shadow" DEX that had been achieving superior pricing and routing through aggregators like Jupiter. Mert Mumtaz sees Sulfi's rise based purely on better performance as a "really sweet demonstration of why blockchains are cool," highlighting the meritocratic nature of the space. He stresses the need for increased competition in Solana DeFi to realize its "NASDAQ vision," pointing to the recent arrival of platforms like 1inch and Matcha (0x) as positive signs, but also noting the broken state of on-chain capital formation.

  • Sulfi, developed by Ellipsus Labs, gained significant market share through Jupiter's routing by offering better price execution, without prior public branding.
  • Mert believes Solana DeFi needs more competition in DEXes and lending protocols (beyond existing players like Radium, Orca, Kamino, and MarginFi) to attract top-tier DeFi talent.

Jack Kubinec analyzes Sulfi's model as a potential shift away from traditional AMMs (Automated Market Makers)—protocols using mathematical formulas for pricing—towards proprietary DEXs with protocol-owned liquidity (POL), where the protocol itself provides and manages liquidity. He suggests this model could be more efficient and profitable for market makers on liquid pairs, mitigating issues like impermanent loss (where liquidity providers lose value compared to just holding assets due to price volatility) often faced by LPs in AMMs. This indicates a maturation of Solana's DeFi infrastructure, moving towards more sophisticated, TradFi-like execution.

Actionable Insight: Crypto AI investors should monitor the rise of innovative DEX models on Solana, such as those utilizing protocol-owned liquidity, as they may offer superior capital efficiency and challenge traditional AMMs. Researchers can explore the game theory and economic sustainability of these new DEX architectures and their impact on overall market liquidity and efficiency.

Performance and Decentralization: A Counter-Intuitive Link

Mert Mumtaz presents a provocative thesis: "the most performant L1 will also be the most decentralized." He argues that high performance drives high on-chain activity, which in turn generates substantial revenue and fees. This economic incentive attracts more participants to run nodes, thereby enhancing decentralization over the long term. He contrasts this with networks where node operation is cheap but offers no financial reward, leading to apathy. Mert highlights Solana's architecture, which aims for high performance without capping validator numbers, as uniquely positioned to achieve both.

  • Mert's core argument: Performance -> Activity -> Revenue -> Incentive to run nodes -> Decentralization.
  • He criticizes the "blockchain trilemma" (a concept suggesting trade-offs between decentralization, security, and scalability) as overlooking these economic incentives.
  • "The only thing you're left with in that case is running a node based purely on vibes," Mert says, referring to low-activity chains with no economic incentive for node operation.

Jack Kubinec finds the argument compelling, though he notes caveats for chains that achieve performance by artificially limiting node counts or requiring co-location, like Hyperliquid. The discussion implies that true, sustainable decentralization is an emergent property of a network's economic vitality, which is itself fueled by performance and utility.

Actionable Insight: This challenges the conventional wisdom that performance and decentralization are inherently at odds. Crypto AI investors and researchers should consider the economic incentives for node participation as a critical, long-term driver of decentralization. A highly performant L1 that fosters a vibrant on-chain economy may cultivate a more robust and decentralized validator set over time.

Conclusion

This episode underscores that network performance and robust economic incentives are increasingly critical for L1 survival and growth, directly impacting decentralization and investment appeal. Crypto AI investors and researchers must look beyond simplistic narratives, analyzing how technical capabilities translate into sustainable on-chain activity, revenue, and genuine network participation.

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