Empire
April 7, 2025

Ethereum Co-Founder: Why Crypto Has Failed | Gavin Wood

Ethereum and Polkadot co-founder Gavin Wood delivers a candid critique of the crypto industry, arguing its focus on hype has overshadowed the original Web3 vision, while detailing Polkadot's evolution and the path forward with JAM.

Crypto's Misdirected Focus

  • "I think we see a certain bifurcation of crypto... there's a lot of hype driven projects... and not that many that are doing legit work... pushing the original sort of web 3 crypto Bitcoin ideals forward really not that many."
  • "I fear is really where crypto an awful lot of crypto industry is at it's not about delivering a new utility... it's really just about trying to attract more money into their specific economies."
  • Gavin expresses being "underwhelmed" by crypto's progress, lamenting the industry's dramatic misallocation of attention towards hype and speculation over fundamental utility.
  • He argues many projects prioritize marketing and token appreciation ("no technological nonsense just marketing breakthrough") rather than advancing Web3 ideals like self-sovereignty and transparency.
  • Hype, while potentially lifting all boats, represents an "incredibly inefficient capital allocation" that often rewards undeserving projects.

The Utility Divide: Speculation vs. Substance

  • "If we start thinking of utility as basically the ability for an elite group of insiders to make themselves a lot of money... then sure, Solana is giving utility."
  • "If Polka Dot weren't available, would Mythical do this functionality anyway?... The answer is yes... What they're doing at the moment with blockchain... is actually useful because it would be done under web two style technologies if it were not using web 3."
  • Wood contrasts the speculative activity prevalent on platforms like Solana, which he characterizes as "unlicensed gambling" often benefiting insiders, with genuine utility.
  • True utility, exemplified by Mythical Games on Polkadot, involves using blockchain to enhance activities that hold value even without Web3 (like game asset management), adding benefits like user sovereignty.
  • Projects solely enabling speculation (e.g., memecoins) lack this foundational utility and wouldn't exist in a Web2 context.

Polkadot's Journey & The JAM Vision

  • "Polka Dot took it one step further with scale... kept the generality kept the resilience delivered scale... and economic independence."
  • "JAM came from the realization that this sort of roll up... deploy your own chain... is suboptimal... JAM is here to fix that."
  • Polkadot was designed to deliver scalability and economic independence (bulk blockspace purchase) beyond Ethereum's generality, but its initial high barrier to entry hindered adoption.
  • The rise of L2s building "roll-up host chains" (like OP Stack) is seen as validation of Polkadot's early model, but Wood considers this approach suboptimal due to "persistent partitioning."
  • JAM (Joint Accumulation Machine) is Polkadot's next evolution, aiming to merge Ethereum's accessible smart contract environment with Polkadot's scalable, resilient architecture, offering a more coherent, indefinitely scalable platform.

Web3 vs. AI & The Need for Proof of Personhood

  • "Web 3 technologies like technologies broadly governed by the concept of less trust more truth... yes these are philosophically diametrically opposed to AI... AI as a technology really is less truth more trust."
  • "Proof of personhood in a web 3 system needs to be made from first principles and it cannot have an arbitrary authority that controls who is and is not a person."
  • Web3 aims for trust-minimized systems ("less trust more truth"), while AI operates on trust in centralized, opaque entities ("less truth more trust"), making them philosophical opposites.
  • Wood warns against the dangers of centralized AI controlling information ("dictator of truth") and criticizes trust-based Proof of Personhood solutions like Worldcoin for having single points of failure and control.
  • A decentralized, first-principles Proof of Personhood is deemed essential to preserve human agency, democracy, and truth in an increasingly AI-influenced digital world.

Key Takeaways:

  • Gavin Wood offers a sobering perspective, urging a return to Web3's foundational principles over fleeting hype cycles. He remains optimistic that technologically superior, value-driven platforms will ultimately succeed, albeit slowly.
  • Crypto Has Lost Its Way: The industry's obsession with hype and speculation diverts resources and attention from building genuine, society-improving utility based on Web3 ideals.
  • Tech Matters, But Adoption is Slow: Superior technology (scalability, economic independence, coherence like JAM aims for) is crucial, but overcoming market inertia, hype-driven funding, and user stickiness takes significant time.
  • Web3 Urgently Needed for AI Era: Trust-minimized Web3 systems, especially robust Proof of Personhood, are critical defenses against the centralizing, trust-based nature of AI to maintain individual sovereignty and reliable information.

Podcast Link: Link

This episode delves into Gavin Wood's candid critique of the crypto industry's misallocated attention, contrasting hype-driven speculation with the foundational Web3 ideals he believes are essential for building truly valuable social operating systems.

Gavin Wood's Macro View on Crypto: Underwhelmed by Hype

  • Gavin Wood, co-founder of Ethereum and Polka Dot, kicks off by expressing a sense of being “underwhelmed” with the crypto industry's progress after a decade. He argues that attention has been dramatically misallocated towards hype and speculation rather than foundational technological advancement and the original Web3 ideals.
  • Wood feels the industry suffers from a bifurcation: many projects focus solely on generating buzz and capital inflow to boost token prices, while fewer are engaged in the “legit work” of pushing forward the core principles of decentralization and user empowerment envisioned by early crypto pioneers.
  • He laments that much of the industry seems to embody a “no technological nonsense just marketing breakthrough” mentality, prioritizing attracting money over delivering new utility or building a truly viable “social operating system.”

The Hype vs. Substance Debate: Capital Allocation and "Deserving" Projects

  • Acknowledging the counter-argument that hype cycles are common in tech and can lift all boats, Wood contends that in crypto, hype represents an “incredibly inefficient capital allocation.” He questions whether highly hyped projects with talented founders, like Salana or Worldcoin, are truly “deserving” or primarily serve to enrich insiders.
  • Wood challenges the notion of “real users” on platforms dominated by speculative activity, suggesting much of it resembles an “unlicensed casino” with opaque fairness, often driven by insider trading rather than genuine utility.
  • Regarding projects like Salana, Wood states, “If we start thinking of like utility as basically the ability for an elite group of insiders to make themselves a lot of money then... Salana is giving utility.” He contrasts this sharply with the goal of creating a foundational social operating system.

Defining Utility: Beyond Speculation (Mythos on Polka Dot)

  • When asked where he sees genuine utility, Wood points to projects on Polka Dot like Mythical Games (Mythos). Mythos utilizes Polka Dot's security (provided by its large-scale consensus mechanism, ensuring correctness and finality) to grant players true ownership of in-game assets.
  • He argues this represents a higher level of utility because Mythical Games finds the functionality valuable enough that they would implement it even using traditional Web2 server infrastructure if Polka Dot wasn't available.
  • The key Web3 advantage, according to Wood, is the added layer of user sovereignty and interoperability – assets can potentially move across ecosystems and be integrated by third parties. This contrasts with memecoin trading, which he argues is a Web3-specific phenomenon largely absent in Web2, indicating its utility is tied primarily to speculation within the crypto ecosystem itself.

Why Stay? The Enduring Vision of Web3

  • Despite his critique, Wood remains in the industry because he believes a core group is still genuinely committed to the original Web3 vision – building systems that enhance self-sovereignty, transparency, and better governance mechanisms. He distinguishes this “Web3” ideal from the broader, often hype-driven “crypto industry.”
  • He sees immense potential for blockchain technology to improve social systems, enabling transparent resource allocation and governance without reliance on increasingly distrusted centralized institutions like civil services.
  • Wood emphasizes that while the technology can facilitate these positive changes, it's currently underutilized for these purposes, requiring further development in scalability and mechanism sophistication. “It is my belief that social systems can be incredibly improved with this technology,” he asserts.

The Challenge of Adoption: Why Hasn't Web3 Reached Mass Scale?

  • Wood attributes the slow adoption of socially beneficial Web3 applications primarily to inadequate “product.” Early platforms often lacked sufficient scalability or forced users into complex economic models requiring native token payments (lacking economic sovereignty for the application).
  • He notes that user acquisition is inherently “sticky,” and projects, influenced by financial incentives or lacking strong technical leadership, sometimes choose platforms based on grants rather than technological suitability, hindering long-term success.
  • The migration of Mythos from Ethereum (which couldn't meet its scale or economic needs) to Polka Dot exemplifies the trial-and-error process required for projects to find the right platform fit. Wood believes superior technology will eventually win but acknowledges that factors like existing investments, fear, and conservatism slow down adoption.

Polka Dot Retrospective: Nailing Scale, Missing Accessibility

  • Wood reflects that Polka Dot's initial vision successfully delivered on scale, generality (allowing diverse applications), resilience, and economic independence for projects (allowing bulk purchase of blockspace, avoiding per-transaction user fees in the native token).
  • However, he identifies the primary shortcoming of “Polka Dot 1” as its high barrier to entry. The model requiring crowdloans and slot auctions for parachains (application-specific blockchains connected to Polka Dot) made it difficult for developers to simply experiment or “mess around” easily, unlike Ethereum's more accessible smart contract environment.
  • “What really held us back was the fact that there wasn't a sort of central crucible... where people could try it out before actually having to... dive in,” Wood explains. Polka Dot is actively working to correct this by introducing lower-barrier ways to deploy, like the upcoming Polka Dot Hub.

The Rise of L2s and Polka Dot's Vindication (and Critique)

  • Wood views the current trend of Layer 2 solutions (L2s - separate blockchains that process transactions off a main chain like Ethereum to improve speed and cost) like Arbitrum's Orbit or Optimism's OP Stack evolving into “native rollup host chains” as “vindicating” Polka Dot's original multi-chain vision.
  • However, he considers this model, which partitions applications onto separate chains (rollups or parachains), ultimately suboptimal. He calls it a “persistent partitioning” that hinders seamless composability and scalability compared to a more unified environment.
  • He notes that even the Ethereum Foundation is recognizing the limitations and potential fragmentation of external L2s, moving towards its own “native rollups,” which he sees as resembling Polka Dot 1 or 2 but still falling short of the ideal solution embodied by JAM.

Introducing JAM: The Next Evolution Beyond Parachains

  • Wood introduces JAM (Joint Accumulate Machine) as the next step in Polka Dot's evolution, designed to address the limitations of the partitioned parachain/rollup model. JAM is described as a “product alteration” rather than fundamental research.
  • The intention behind JAM is to merge the best of both worlds: Ethereum's low-barrier, highly compatible, universal smart contract environment with Polka Dot's proven scalability, resilience, and economic independence features.
  • Crucially, JAM aims to provide near-indefinite scalability without permanently splitting the environment into isolated chains, fostering a more coherent and seamlessly interoperable platform for developers to build and experiment on.

Bridging the Gap: Technology vs. Marketing and Growth

  • Addressing the non-technical aspects of ecosystem growth, Wood acknowledges that aggressive marketing and “playing the crypto games” are not his strengths or preferred focus. He concentrates on “technical advocacy” – explaining the technology and its purpose.
  • He believes that broader marketing and hype generation are tasks better suited for others within the ecosystem, potentially funded by the Polka Dot Treasury or driven organically by community members who believe in the mission, similar to Bitcoin's grassroots growth.
  • “I think the value that I can add could be so much better if it's focused around... technology,” Wood states, trusting operational leaders and the decentralized treasury/community to handle aspects outside his core expertise.

AI vs. Web3: A Philosophical Opposition

  • Wood posits that AI and Web3 technologies are “philosophically diametrically opposed.” He characterizes AI development as fundamentally centralized, operating on “less truth, more trust.” Users must trust the opaque data sources and models controlled by single entities like OpenAI.
  • Web3, conversely, aims for “less trust, more truth” through decentralized verification and user control over data and interactions, minimizing reliance on intermediaries. He criticizes the current AI trajectory as dangerous, potentially leading to a world reliant on a few “dictators of truth.”
  • He argues that robust Web3 systems are necessary for humanity to navigate a world increasingly influenced by powerful, centralized AI, providing a counterbalance based on verifiable truth and decentralization.

The Critical Need for Web3 Proof of Personhood

  • Wood strongly advocates for a “solid Web3 proof of personhood” system, built on first principles without centralized authorities, as an urgent necessity. Proof of Personhood (PoP) refers to mechanisms verifying that an online account corresponds to a unique human being.
  • He argues PoP is essential to combat AI-driven manipulation, where bots can masquerade as large groups of humans, distorting online discourse and potentially influencing real-world events (citing examples like Cambridge Analytica and election interference). It's needed to maintain the integrity of human interaction online.
  • He explicitly criticizes Worldcoin's approach as fundamentally flawed (“trust based,” “just as [bad] as the AI system”) because it relies on a single, centralized authority (Worldcoin Foundation/Tools for Humanity) to issue identities and control sensitive biometric data (retina scans). A true Web3 solution, he insists, must be decentralized.

Concluding Optimism: Building Better Social Operating Systems

  • Despite the industry's flaws and global challenges, Wood remains optimistic. He sees an opportunity for Web3 technology to replace outdated, often unjust, and inefficient traditional “social operating systems” (governance, resource allocation, etc.).
  • His hope lies in building more transparent, agile, and fair systems grounded in Web3 principles, leveraging the current period of global change as a catalyst. He dedicates his work to building the foundational technologies required for this transformation.

Reflective and Strategic Conclusion

  • Gavin Wood critiques crypto's hype, advocating for a return to Web3's core principles of utility and decentralization. The discussion highlights the strategic importance of scalable, coherent platforms like the proposed JAM. Crypto AI investors should track developments in foundational tech and decentralized identity as key long-term value drivers.

Others You May Like