Lightspeed
March 7, 2025

A Solana Data Deep Dive With Carlos Gonzalez Campo

In this episode, Carlos Gonzalez Campo, an analyst at Blockworks Research, joins host Jack Cuban to explore recent developments in the Solana ecosystem. The discussion focuses on the implications of the SIMD 96 update, the evolving decentralized exchange (DEX) landscape, and the impact of meme coins on Solana's network dynamics.

SIMD 96 Update and Its Effects

  • “SIMD 96 was activated on February 12th... the basic goal was to discourage out-of-protocol arrangements for transaction inclusion.”
  • “Inflation before SIMD 96 was around 3.7% annualized, and since the activation, inflation has gone up to around 4.6%.”
  • SIMD 96 aimed to eliminate the 50% tax on priority fees, redirecting all fees to validators, but resulted in increased network inflation from 3.7% to 4.6%.
  • The update has not reduced priority fees as expected, with median fees remaining unchanged.
  • Validators now retain 100% of priority fees, creating a misalignment with stakers, as there is no in-protocol mechanism to distribute these fees back to them.
  • The update's success will be measured by its impact on reducing out-of-protocol transaction processing units (TPUs).

The DEX Landscape and Pump.fun's Strategic Move

  • “Pump.fun is building its own automated market maker... Radium has around 80% of market share when it comes to meme coin trading pairs.”
  • “Around 70% of Radium's volume comes from pools that are less than 30 days old.”
  • Pump.fun's decision to create its own automated market maker (AMM) threatens Radium's dominance, as 70% of Radium's volume comes from new pools.
  • Radium's reliance on meme coins, particularly those launched by Pump.fun, makes it vulnerable to losing significant trading volume.
  • Despite potential challenges, Radium's financial robustness and strategic adaptability could allow it to reclaim market share.

Meme Coins and Solana's Economic Activity

  • “60% of DEX volume comes from meme coins... the primary beneficiary has been Radium.”
  • “Stablecoin supply on Solana grew as much as it had in the prior 320 days over a weekend.”
  • Meme coins account for 60% of DEX volume, heavily influencing Solana's economic activity.
  • February saw a decline in meme coin activity, leading to a 50% drop in revenue, highlighting the ecosystem's dependency on these coins.
  • Despite this, stablecoin supply on Solana reached an all-time high, indicating sustained liquidity and potential for future growth.

Key Takeaways:

  • The SIMD 96 update has increased inflation and highlighted the need for better alignment between validators and stakers.
  • Pump.fun's move to create its own AMM poses a significant challenge to Radium, which must innovate to maintain its market position.
  • While meme coins drive significant activity, Solana's growing stablecoin supply suggests a robust foundation for future development.

For further insights and detailed discussions, watch the full podcast: Link

Fans of Lightspeed know Jack Cuban doesn’t shy away from diving into the nuances of the crypto world. In this episode, his deep dive into Solana’s recent developments with Blockworks Research Analyst Carlos Gonzalez Compo unravels the intricacies and the unexpected. From the activation of SIMD 96 to the implications of Solana’s meme coin scene, they leave no stone unturned.

The Big Move: Solana’s SIMD 96

A Tax Repealed

  • The episode unfolds with a discussion of SIMD 96—an update that stopped burning 50% of Solana’s priority fees, channeling them entirely to validators. Before, those using the network paid these fees to ensure their transactions were prioritized. Jack sets the stage with the puzzle this untangling was meant to solve—a 50% fee burn—which acted like a punitive tax, pushing users to negotiate off-protocol deals with validators. “Think of it like a hidden alleyway through which deals got done,” Carlos comments, underlining the workaround ecosystem that stemmed from the fees.

Unintended Consequences and New Realities

  • Although the primary goal was clear—streamline and legitimize transaction fees—in reality, rejigging this part of the network landscape had layers of repercussions. It introduced inflationary pressure, with network inflation increasing from around 3.7% to 4.6% post-activation. The subtle tug-of-war between validators and stakers becomes apparent when Carlos notes, “Validators keep all the priority fees, leaving stakers in a blind spot,” pointing to the misalignment SIMD 96 unintentionally surfaced.

The Staking Quandary

  • Interestingly, this change highlighted how Solana's stakers might not be optimizing their returns by chasing higher yields, such as those offered by exploratory liquid staking tokens (LSTs). Carlos reveals a crucial finding: despite potential benefits, LST adoption sits around a lowly 10%. This cryptic disinterest among stakers throws a spotlight on Solana’s ecosystem dynamics—where concepts like ‘rational actors’ seem slightly turned on their heads.

The Application Arena: Meme Coins in the Spotlight

Pump Fund’s Strategic Gamble

  • Moving into the realm of applications, a surprise twist in Solana’s meme coin kingdom came when Pump.fund announced its intention to build its own automated market maker (AMM), potentially severing its thriving partnerships with Radium. Radium, a keystone of Solana’s DeFi landscape, was dependent on Pump.fund for a hefty portion of its trading volume. Jack breaks down the data: Radium has become the epicenter of meme coin trading, with Pump.fund acting as the gravitational force that continually draws in new coin launches.

The Trading Volume Tectonics

  • Carlos delves deeper, uncovering that about 70% of Radium’s volume during vibrant meme coin seasons comes from pools less than 30 days old. This statistic lays bare the volatile yet sticky nature of new launches in crypto trading. “It’s an ecosystem where yesterday’s news rapidly fades, but new coins burn bright,” Carlos opines, suggesting that the allure of fresh tokens continuously reshapes trading spaces.

Beyond the Memes: The Broader Solana Ecosystem

Stablecoins and Real-World Ties

  • The discussion steers toward a macro view of how Stablecoins, particularly USDC on Solana, portray a promising alignment with regulatory trends. Solana holds an 80% market share in USDC compared to Ethereum’s tether preference. Jack and Carlos muse over the implications: with Circle—a compliant steady player—leading stablecoin issuance, Solana’s ecosystem may just be better poised to weather regulatory changes.

Regulatory Arbitrage and Strategic Positioning

  • Jack weaves in the competitive edge suggested by Solana's predominant use of USDC. The network's alignment with potential regulatory shifts could serve as a catalyst for further adoption among more risk-averse institutional investors looking for compliant solutions in the blockchain space.

Wrapping Up: Weaving Through Solana's Ecosystem

Jack steers the conversation toward a reflective conclusion, examining Solana’s dual landscape of explosive meme coin narratives and steady regulatory positioning. The episode underscores a crucial takeaway: while Solana blooms in the meme coin season, its deeper roots are firmly intertwined with stable assets and regulatory shifts.

With questions lingering around institutional adoption and the evolving dynamics of fees and yields, Jack posits, “How will these forces shape Solana’s narrative ahead?” The conversation suggests that the network’s core strengths lie in balancing novelty with reliability—a theme listeners might see explored in future chapters of the Solana story.

As always, Lightspeed listeners can ponder these insights, perhaps getting ready to catch the impact in person at the upcoming Digital Asset Summit in New York. For those inspired by the discussion, Jack invites them to join the unfolding narrative at the heart of crypto’s next big waves.

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