Lightspeed
September 5, 2025

Solana's Next Big Catalyst | Brandon Potts

Brandon Potts, Partner at Framework Ventures and a key Solana investor, breaks down the massive, underappreciated catalyst on the horizon for the ecosystem. He dissects the math behind Digital Asset Trusts (DATs), the strategic battle for DeFi’s second act, and why perception is Solana’s final boss.

The $100 Billion Catalyst

  • "To put it plainly, Ethereum essentially doubled its market cap… by way of raising $15 billion in Ethereum DATs and roughly $30 billion in Ethereum ETFs. So, $45 billion in visible demand for Ethereum has essentially doubled its market cap and produced $300 billion in net new market value."
  • "If Solana DATs raise $2.5 billion… and let's say the ETFs raise double that… at that same six to seven multiple in value creation that Ethereum experienced, that's ballpark $100 billion in market cap value that could be created over the coming months."
  • While Solana is currently in a "narrative doldrum," the imminent launch of DATs and ETFs is a massively underestimated catalyst. Applying the 6-7x valuation multiple seen with Ethereum's capital inflows, a potential $15 billion infusion into Solana products could inject approximately $100 billion in new market capitalization.
  • Potts argues that DATs launching their own Liquid Staking Tokens (LSTs) instead of established protocols like Jito are "synthetically short on-chain activity." They prioritize short-term emission capture over the long-term, organic yield generated from MEV and transaction fees, which represent true network growth.

DeFi’s Second Act is Here

  • "Imagine the amount of economic activity that will be able to be underwritten by way of having $10 trillion in stablecoins on chain. I mean, that's really powerful to think about."
  • DeFi 2.0 is driven by stablecoins, which have transformed from niche crypto assets into global, day-one distribution vehicles for financial services. They collapse legacy banking software and financing models by offering superior distribution and lower operational costs.
  • This shift means founders no longer need to be crypto-natives to build valuable companies. They can now use on-chain capital simply as a financing tool to launch real-world businesses, moving beyond speculative airdrop farming to underwrite tangible economic activity.

Solana’s Perception Game

  • "If Ethereum's going for Wall Street, AUM, and this capital and liquidity game, we need to get into more of the volume game… We can use a smaller capital base and compound economic activity at a much higher velocity."
  • Solana's path to victory isn't competing with Ethereum on assets under management but by winning the "volume game"—focusing on user growth, attention, and high-velocity applications. Its architecture allows it to compound economic activity faster with less capital.
  • The biggest hurdle for Solana is perception. The "casino chain" narrative is reminiscent of early criticisms of Ethereum's ICO era. To succeed, Solana must win top-of-funnel mindshare among founders and re-establish itself as the premier destination for building consumer-facing apps.

Key Takeaways:

  • The Math is Coming: The most significant, quantifiable catalyst for Solana is the inflow from DATs and ETFs. Applying Ethereum's 6-7x valuation multiple, a potential ~$15B inflow could add ~$100B to Solana's market cap.
  • Win the Narrative, Win the War: While tech improves, Solana's final boss is perception. It must transition from a "casino chain" image to the go-to platform for the high-velocity "volume game," positioning itself as the consumer-centric counterparty to Ethereum's institutional "liquidity game."
  • Stablecoins Are the New Rails: DeFi’s second act isn't about convoluted protocols but using stablecoins as a financing tool for real-world businesses. This unlocks a new wave of builders who can leverage on-chain capital without being crypto-native.

For further insights, watch the full podcast: Link

This episode reveals how institutional products like DATs and ETFs are poised to be Solana's next major catalyst, forcing the network to sharpen its narrative beyond memecoins to capture real-world economic activity.

Introduction to Framework Ventures and Solana Focus

  • Framework's Thesis: The firm targets seed and Series A stages, seeking founders who leverage on-chain capital for new markets.
  • Brandon's Background: With a background in engineering and product, Brandon brings a technical and full-stack investment approach to the team.

Solana's Venture Landscape and Narrative Doldrums

  • Current Market Sentiment: Despite strong price performance for major assets, Brandon senses a "muddied, if not skewing bearish" sentiment in his conversations, creating a disconnect between market reality and perception.
  • The Narrative Gap: Jack Kuban notes a "vibe change" around Solana, with some perceiving it as less hyped than a year ago. Brandon agrees, pointing to a "dearth of narrative" that leaves the ecosystem in a temporary lull.

The Twin Catalysts: DATs and ETFs

  • Brandon identifies DATs (Digital Asset Trusts)—investment vehicles that hold digital assets—and ETFs as Solana's most significant upcoming catalysts. He draws a direct parallel to Ethereum, where approximately $45 billion in combined DAT and ETF inflows generated an estimated $300 billion in new market value.
  • Back-of-the-Napkin Math: With Solana DATs having raised around $2.5 billion and ETFs yet to launch, Brandon projects a potential $100 billion in market cap creation if Solana follows a similar value creation multiple as Ethereum.
  • Macro Tailwinds: He suggests a potential FOMC rate cut around September could provide a risk-on environment, aligning perfectly with the timeline for these product launches. Brandon notes, "I think folks are going to be surprised at the velocity."
  • Strategic Implication: Investors should closely monitor capital inflows into Solana DATs and ETFs as a primary indicator of institutional demand and a potential trigger for significant price appreciation.

The LST Debate: A Bet on On-Chain Activity

  • MEV (Maximal Extractable Value): This refers to the profit validators can capture by reordering or inserting transactions in a block. Jito's protocol is designed to capture and redistribute this value to stakers.
  • Brandon's Thesis: He posits that creating a proprietary LST to capture staking emissions is short-sighted. Instead, using JitoSOL aligns a fund with long-term, organic on-chain activity, including transaction fees and MEV, which will outlast inflationary rewards.
  • Quote: "Anyone who isn't leveraging JitoSOL is synthetically short on-chain activity on Solana."
  • Actionable Insight: Researchers should analyze the yield composition of various LSTs. A reliance on inflationary emissions presents a different risk profile compared to yields derived from organic network activity like fees and MEV.

Winning the Narrative War: On-Chain Metrics vs. Storytelling

  • Solana's Counter-Narrative: Brandon suggests Solana should focus on metrics related to user growth, attention, and transaction volume, positioning itself as the "volume game" in contrast to Ethereum's "AUM and liquidity game."
  • The Consumer Angle: While memecoins are often dismissed, Brandon views them as an "early harbinger" of user interaction and sticky network effects. The key is to translate this initial engagement into more sophisticated financial applications.
  • Strategic Focus: Solana's path forward lies in extending its DeFi primitives into consumer-facing financial services, particularly in areas like payments, DePIN, and AI, where its low-cost, high-throughput architecture provides a distinct advantage.

DeFi's Second Act: The Stablecoin Revolution

  • Stablecoins as a Financing Tool: With over $270 billion in liquidity seeking yield, stablecoins can underwrite economic activity that legacy banks, focused on large-scale clients, often ignore.
  • The Business Model Shift: Stablecoins collapse legacy banking software and financing models into a single, efficient layer, enabling new businesses to acquire global customers from day one.
  • Actionable Insight: Investors should look for companies using on-chain stablecoin infrastructure to solve real-world problems in fintech, B2B payments, and cross-border commerce, as this represents a massive, underappreciated growth vector.

Solana's Path to Improvement: Perception is Reality

  • Winning Top-of-Funnel: The primary goal is to ensure that when founders consider building new applications, Solana is a top contender. This requires a concerted effort in storytelling and narrative-building.
  • The Role of Leadership: The discussion touches on Solana Foundation President Lily Liu's recent CNBC appearance, where she framed Solana's total addressable market as "internet capital markets." This is seen as a crucial step in establishing a clear, institutional-friendly narrative.
  • Strategic Implication: The success of Solana's ecosystem will increasingly depend on its ability to market its value proposition effectively to both institutional capital and the next wave of builders.

Conclusion

This discussion highlights that Solana's future growth depends on successfully launching institutional products like DATs and ETFs while simultaneously winning the crucial narrative battle for founder mindshare. For investors and researchers, the key is to track both the flow of institutional capital and the emergence of new, user-centric applications that leverage Solana's unique architectural strengths.

Others You May Like