The Rollup
December 20, 2025

How AI Agents Are Replacing Hedge Fund Managers with Pei Chen of Theoriq

AI is no longer just a tool; it's becoming an economic actor. This episode with Pei Chen, CEO of Theoriq Foundation, unpacks how autonomous AI agents are moving from theoretical capability to operational reality, particularly in finance, and what that means for investors, builders, and the future of work.

The Agentic Economy: AI as a Financial Actor

  • “Theoric is unique because it's building not just like one product but it's building a stack... the top layer of the AI we call alpha protocol, it's essentially agent-to-agent communication and coordination layer.”
  • Autonomous Capital Management: Theoriq's Alpha Vault uses a "swarm" of specialized AI agents (policy, execution, knowledge) to manage DeFi strategies, providing liquidity and finding optimal yields across chains.
  • Programmable Guardrails: "Policy cages" define what AI agents can and cannot do, especially with on-chain capital. Think of it like a high-performance race car confined to a safe track; it can go fast, but only within defined boundaries.
  • Alpha Generation: Backtesting suggests AI agents can generate substantial alpha (e.g., 25% on $25M TVL) in DeFi, signaling a shift in financial management.
  • Robo-Advisors Evolved: AI-driven robo-advisors are poised to outperform human financial advisors, especially for tokenized funds, disrupting traditional white-collar finance.

Integration & Distribution: The New AI Moat

  • “The first half of 2025 had drastic improvement in the models. The second half we're starting to make improvements in the UX and we're starting to bring them more or make them more integrated into our everyday systems.”
  • From Capability to Operation: The focus has shifted from whether AI can perform a task to whether it can be trusted and how seamlessly it integrates into daily workflows.
  • UX Dominance: Incremental model improvements are less impactful than deep integration into existing platforms. Gemini's success, for example, stems from its ubiquity across Google's product suite (Docs, Gmail, Meets).
  • Platform-Specific Optimization: As models train on different data (Grok on X, Gemini on Google), they will diverge, becoming optimized for specific use cases and platforms.
  • Multi-Platform Utility: The ability for AI agents to operate across multiple chains and applications (e.g., Theoriq's agents across DeFi protocols) is a key differentiator for adoption.

Human-AI Collaboration: The Future of Work

  • “Junior engineers will enter the market with a very different outlook and they need to understand that their strength needs to be a combined, you know, how to work with AI and work with AI tooling.”
  • Oversight, Not Replacement: Human oversight remains critical for autonomous agents to prevent "going off-rail" and ensure accountability, particularly with sensitive financial operations.
  • Vibe Coding: Engineers will leverage AI tools to accelerate development, focusing on efficiency and speed. This enhances, rather than replaces, fundamental coding skills.
  • Specialized Human Demand: The rapid evolution of crypto and AI still requires smart contract developers, strategists, and technical talent for complex integrations, edge cases, and new use case creation.
  • Auditing & Interpretation: Humans are essential for auditing code, interpreting AI outputs, identifying vulnerabilities, and debugging in complex, novel environments like EVM-based smart contracts.

Key Takeaways:

  • Agentic Finance is Here: Autonomous AI agents will manage significant capital, requiring robust guardrails and verifiable security.
  • Distribution Wins: For AI models, deep integration into existing user ecosystems and multi-platform functionality will drive adoption and performance.
  • Human Roles Evolve: Builders must design for human-AI collaboration, focusing on AI as an accelerator for specialized human expertise, not a full replacement.

Podcast Link: Link

AI agents are not just assisting; they are autonomously managing capital, challenging traditional hedge fund models and redefining white-collar work. This episode with Pei Chen of Theoriq reveals the architecture enabling this shift and forecasts the future of AI integration.

Theoriq's Autonomous Agent Architecture for DeFi

  • Theoriq implements policy cages, programmable guardrails defining AI agents' operational scope. These limit what agents can control, particularly sensitive on-chain capital and transaction signing, ensuring safety.
  • The Alpha Protocol acts as an agent-to-agent communication and coordination layer, enabling agents to register, discover, communicate, coordinate, and transact.
  • Alpha Swarm comprises multiple modular agents, each specialized in areas like policy adherence, on-chain execution, or knowledge acquisition (e.g., understanding specific DeFi protocols). This swarm collectively executes complex tasks, such as optimizing liquidity provision or finding the best yield across various assets simultaneously, mitigating single points of failure.
  • Pei Chen states, "We're not trying to limit the AI here... we wanted to kind of limit the... what actual things that the AI can touch and handle and control."

2025 AI Review: From Capability to Operational Reality

  • The first half of 2025 saw LLMs become "tangible," with drastic improvements in usability and context understanding.
  • The second half focused on integration, embedding AI products into existing applications like Google Suite (Gmail, Sheets) and replacing traditional search functions.
  • Pei emphasizes the shift from AI's "capability" to its "operational reality," as enterprises deploy AI directly to users for tasks like customer interaction, research, code writing, and capital management.
  • Pei Chen argues, "The focus of the question start shifting from can they do it to like should we trust them doing it."

AI Model Supremacy: Gemini Dominates Prediction Markets

  • Prediction markets, specifically Kelshi, indicate Gemini as the leading AI model by year-end 2025, largely due to its Gemini 3 Pro launch and deep integration into Google's ecosystem.
  • Gemini's market dominance (92% chance on Kelshi) stems from its superior overall experience and output compared to competitors like Grok and ChatGPT.
  • Rob highlights the critical role of native integrations (e.g., Gemini in Google Docs, Grok on X) in driving user adoption and model improvement. More data and prompts lead to better-trained models.
  • Rob observes, "I think the first half of 25 had drastic improvement in the models. The second half we're starting to make improvements in the UX and we're starting to bring them more or make them more integrated into our everyday systems."

AI in Coding: The Future of Engineering Roles

  • While OpenAI leads in general rapid prototyping, Theoriq's engineering team heavily utilizes Anthropic's Claude for specialized tasks like backtesting, reasoning, and smart contract development.
  • The rise of AI coding agents creates an "AI inception" scenario, where LLMs are used to build other specialized AI models.
  • Pei asserts a continued, desperate need for human smart contract developers due to the rapid evolution of the space, complex integrations, and unforeseen edge cases. Junior engineers must adapt to vibe coding (collaborative coding with AI tools) to accelerate their work, maintaining a strong understanding of auditing and bug detection.
  • Pei Chen states, "You still want to someone have the background of and you know coding background understanding how to audit and how to interpret codes and be able to capture the hackable like areas like look for the bugs right that is still very much needed."

Investor & Researcher Alpha

  • Capital Allocation Shift: The emergence of AI-managed DeFi vaults like Theoriq's Alpha Vault signals a significant shift in capital allocation. Investors should research platforms offering verifiable, auditable AI agent-driven strategies with robust guardrails.
  • AI Model Moats: Distribution and native integration are becoming critical competitive advantages for AI models. Investment thesis should consider which models are deeply embedded into widely used platforms, as this drives data acquisition and model performance.
  • Engineering Talent Redefinition: The demand for traditional junior engineering roles may diminish, but the need for highly skilled smart contract developers and engineers proficient in collaborating with AI tools (vibe coding) will intensify. Research into educational pathways and tooling for AI-augmented development is paramount.

Strategic Conclusion

The economy is rapidly transitioning from software-based to an agent-based model, where autonomous AI agents manage capital and coordinate resources. The next step requires establishing robust trust frameworks and verifiable guardrails for these agents to operate at scale.

Others You May Like