The Rollup
December 21, 2025

2025 Year in Review: Why RWAs are Taking Off in 2026 with Chris Yin and Teddy Pornprinya of Plume

The "One Big Thing" is that Real World Assets (RWAs) are transitioning from an institutional-only, T-bill-dominated niche to a rapidly expanding, diversified, and retail-accessible on-chain market, driven by declining T-bill yields, innovative crypto-native platforms like Plume, and a global search for higher, permissionless yield. This shift will lead to an "explosion" of capital and new winners in 2026.

1. The RWA Yield Hunt: Beyond T-Bills:

  • "Big picture though, it comes down to two things, right? Risk and yield. And those are the two dimensions that kind of come back and forth."
  • "As these rate cuts are coming down, T-bills are going down, right? The rate. So this 5% is down to four now to three, three and a half-ish, right? And so that's going down. So people are now searching for new yield, new places."

2. Permissionless Access & Crypto-Native RWA Mechanics:

  • "The biggest thing that we're doing differently is actually allowing permissionless access to these different assets."
  • "We've always wanted to interact with these assets like crypto. And the dimensions of crypto are very simple, right? They're liquid, they're permissionless, and they're composable."

3. The Global & Multi-Chain RWA Expansion:

  • "The RWA opportunity isn't just stuck in the US. There's a lot of velocity in Asia, a lot of velocity in the Middle East, a lot of velocity honestly anywhere outside of the US."
  • "I think the question is centralized versus decentralized, and we're using centralized in the front end and decentralized in the back."

Synthesize Insights:

Theme 1: The RWA Yield Hunt: Beyond T-Bills

  • Yield Compression: As Fed rates decline (T-bill yields dropping from 5% to 3-3.5%), the "risk-free" rate becomes less attractive, forcing capital to seek higher returns.
  • CLOs as the Next Step: Collateralized Loan Obligations (CLOs) like the Janice Henderson AAA CLO fund offer 6-7% yield with relatively low risk and high liquidity (T+1/T+2 settlement), attracting significant institutional capital ($500M single LP).
    • Analogy: Think of T-bills as a savings account with a guaranteed, low-interest rate. CLOs are like a slightly riskier, higher-yield bond fund that bundles many different loans together, spreading out the risk.
  • Duration Risk: Higher yields often correlate with longer duration (time until principal return). Crypto users, accustomed to instant liquidity, are uncomfortable with 3-15+ month lockups, creating a mismatch that platforms must address.
    • Analogy: Duration is like how long your money is locked in a CD. A 3-month CD has short duration; a 5-year CD has long duration. In RWAs, it's how long until you get your initial investment back.
  • Private Credit's Role: Private credit markets are seen as sturdy and less squeezed than perceived, offering uncorrelated yields (14-17%) less affected by Fed rate cuts, appealing to those seeking higher returns.

Theme 2: Permissionless Access & Crypto-Native RWA Mechanics

  • Retail Adoption Driver: Plume's success (over 50% of RWA holders) stems from making RWAs permissionless, liquid, and composable, mirroring crypto-native DeFi experiences.
  • RWA Looping: Users can deposit RWA assets into vaults (e.g., NBasis with Superstate's USCCC fund), take out collateral tokens, and re-lend them on protocols like Morpho to "loop" for higher yields (e.g., borrowing at 6-7% to earn 9-10%).
    • Analogy: RWA looping is like using your house as collateral for a loan, then using that loan money to buy another house, and repeating the process to amplify your returns (and risk).
  • Liquidity Buffers: To address duration risk and provide instant liquidity, platforms use aggregate vaults and liquidity buffers, allowing users to withdraw without waiting for underlying asset settlement.
  • Non-KYC Access (Ex-US): Plume enables non-KYC access for non-US users by offering tokens representing economic interest and yield while maintaining AML checks at the sequencer, chain, and bridge levels. This expands the user base significantly.

Theme 3: The Global & Multi-Chain RWA Expansion

  • Ethereum's Dominance (Institutional): Ethereum remains the primary choice for institutions due to its battle-tested nature and perceived credible neutrality, especially for long-duration assets.
  • Multi-Chain Pivot: Many L1s/L2s are pivoting to RWAs, often driven by a desire for relevance, but some lack a clear strategy beyond "something hot and shiny."
  • Global Capital Inflow: Significant RWA velocity and capital are flowing from Asia and the Middle East, where access to traditional high-yield products is limited, creating a massive opportunity outside the US.
  • Centralized Frontends, Decentralized Backends: The future involves centralized platforms (e.g., Alibaba, OKX, eventually Bank of America) using decentralized RWA protocols (e.g., Plume, Morpho) in the backend to offer yield products to a broader, less crypto-native audience.

Filter for Action:

  • For Investors:
    • Opportunity: Bet on RWA infrastructure and tooling (lending/borrowing protocols, insurance, core chains) rather than just holding RWA assets, as infrastructure captures fees from growing volume. Look for platforms enabling crypto-native composability and permissionless access.
    • Warning: Be wary of "hot and shiny" RWA plays from general L1s/L2s without deep RWA-specific strategies. Understand the underlying risk, yield, and duration of specific RWA products. Diversify beyond single-holder institutional products.
    • Prediction: Expect a "mad scramble" for capital in 2026 as Fed cuts drive a search for yield, potentially leading to 25-50x growth in the RWA market (to $400B-$800B).
  • For Builders:
    • Opportunity: Focus on creating crypto-native RWA experiences: liquid, permissionless, composable. Develop tooling for lending, borrowing, leverage, and insurance around these assets. Build solutions that bridge traditional finance with decentralized backends, catering to both institutional and retail users globally.
    • Challenge: Address the duration mismatch for crypto users while maintaining institutional-grade security and compliance (AML/KYC where necessary). Innovate on yield generation that is less correlated with traditional interest rate cuts.
    • Market Focus: Target emerging markets and regions outside the US where access to high-yield traditional finance products is limited, as these represent a massive untapped user base.

New Podcast Alert: 2025 Year in Review: Why RWAs are Taking Off in 2026 with Chris Yin and Teddy Pornprinya of Plume
By The Rollup

As T-bill yields compress, the hunt for higher returns is pushing capital into Real World Assets (RWAs) on-chain. Chris Yin and Teddy Pornprinya of Plume unpack how crypto-native platforms are democratizing access to institutional-grade yield, setting the stage for an explosive 2026.

1. The Great Yield Migration

  • "Big picture though, it comes down to two things, right? Risk and yield. And those are the two dimensions that kind of come back and forth."
  • Yield Compression: With Fed rate cuts, T-bill yields are dropping from 5% to 3-3.5%. This decline makes the "risk-free" rate less appealing, forcing investors to seek higher returns elsewhere.
  • CLOs Step Up: Collateralized Loan Obligations (CLOs) like the Janice Henderson AAA CLO fund offer 6-7% yield with relatively low risk and high liquidity (T+1/T+2 settlement). This attracts significant institutional capital, exemplified by a single LP depositing $500 million.
  • Duration Mismatch: Higher yields often mean longer duration—the time money is locked up. Crypto users, accustomed to instant liquidity, find 3-15+ month lockups uncomfortable, a key challenge for RWA adoption.
  • Private Credit's Edge: Private credit markets offer uncorrelated yields, sometimes 14-17%, less affected by Fed rate cuts. This asset class is gaining traction as a sturdy alternative for higher returns.

2. Crypto-Native RWA Mechanics

  • "The biggest thing that we're doing differently is actually allowing permissionless access to these different assets."
  • Permissionless Access: Plume's success, holding over 50% of RWA wallet holders, stems from making RWAs permissionless, liquid, and composable, mirroring familiar DeFi experiences.
  • RWA Looping: Users can deposit RWA assets into vaults (e.g., NBasis), receive collateral tokens, and re-lend them on protocols like Morpho. This "looping" amplifies yield, allowing users to borrow at 6-7% to earn 9-10%.
  • Liquidity Buffers: To mitigate duration risk, platforms use aggregate vaults with liquidity buffers. This allows users to withdraw funds instantly without waiting for the underlying RWA to settle.
  • Global Reach, Local Compliance: Plume offers non-KYC access for non-US users by tokenizing economic interest and yield, while maintaining AML checks at the sequencer, chain, and bridge levels. This broadens the user base significantly.

3. Global & Multi-Chain Expansion

  • "The RWA opportunity isn't just stuck in the US. There's a lot of velocity in Asia, a lot of velocity in the Middle East, a lot of velocity honestly anywhere outside of the US."
  • Ethereum's Institutional Gravity: Ethereum remains the preferred base layer for institutions due to its battle-tested nature and perceived credible neutrality, especially for long-duration assets.
  • Multi-Chain Scramble: Many L1s and L2s are pivoting to RWAs, often seeking relevance. However, effective strategies require more than just chasing a "hot and shiny" trend.
  • Global Capital Inflow: Asia and the Middle East are driving significant RWA velocity, as these regions seek access to high-yield products often unavailable through traditional channels.
  • Hybrid Architecture: The future involves centralized frontends (e.g., Alibaba, OKX, eventually traditional banks) leveraging decentralized RWA protocols in the backend. This model bridges traditional user trust with on-chain efficiency.

Key Takeaways:

  • Strategic Implication: The RWA market is poised for a "nuclear" expansion in 2026, driven by declining T-bill yields and a global search for higher returns. Expect 25-50x growth, pushing total value to $400B-$800B.
  • Builder/Investor Note: Focus investments on RWA infrastructure and tooling (lending, borrowing, insurance, core chains) rather than just holding RWA assets. These platforms capture fees from growing volume. Builders should prioritize crypto-native composability and permissionless access.
  • The "So What?": The convergence of traditional finance's yield needs with crypto's permissionless innovation, particularly in emerging markets, will redefine capital allocation and create new financial primitives over the next 6-12 months.

Podcast Link: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6gE_qPIsgx0

This episode dissects the explosive growth of Real World Assets (RWAs) in 2025 and forecasts their trajectory into a multi-trillion-dollar market in 2026, driven by shifting monetary policy and cryptonative innovation.

RWA Market Evolution: From T-Bills to CLOs

  • T-Bill Baseline: T-bills provided a risk-free rate of approximately 5%, serving as the initial benchmark for RWA yields. Their T+1/T+2 liquidity and near-zero default risk made them a primary entry point.
  • Yield Search: Declining T-bill rates (from 5% to 3-3.5%) compel capital to seek higher APYs, leading to increased risk and duration.
  • CLO Emergence: Collateralized Loan Obligations (CLOs) represent the next step up, offering 6-7% yields. These fully secured assets maintain deep liquidity and T+1/T+2 withdrawal times.
  • Institutional Adoption: Janice Henderson's AAA CLO fund, via Centrifuge, rapidly accumulated $500 million from a single LP, becoming a top RWA asset. This demonstrates institutional appetite for higher-yielding, secured on-chain products.

"People are now searching for new yield, new places. And obviously you have to dial up the risk and dial up the duration in some cases." – Chris Yin

Plume's Cryptonative RWA Strategy

  • Permissionless Access: Plume enables users to deploy capital into liquid RWA assets, a capability previously unavailable in DeFi.
  • RWA Looping: Plume's Nest product facilitates "RWA looping" strategies. Users deposit RWA assets, take out collateral tokens, and borrow against them on lending markets like Morpho, generating amplified yields.
  • Global User Base: Plume boasts over 280,000 RWA wallet holders, exceeding the next ten chains combined. A significant portion of these users reside in emerging markets (Africa, Southeast Asia), where access to high-yield financial products is limited.
  • Non-KYC Accessibility: For users outside the US, Plume offers tokens representing economic interest and yield without requiring KYC, while maintaining AML compliance at the sequencer, chain, and bridge levels.

"The biggest thing that we're doing differently is actually allowing permissionless access to these different assets." – Teddy Pornprinya

On-Chain RWA Landscape & Multi-Chain Future

  • Ethereum's Dominance: Ethereum holds the largest share of RWA TVL due to its established presence and institutional trust.
  • Multi-Chain Expansion: Many L1s and L2s are pivoting to RWAs, recognizing the market opportunity. This creates a diverse ecosystem of chains competing for RWA deployment.
  • Centralized Frontends, Decentralized Backends: The industry moves towards a model where centralized platforms (e.g., Alibaba's Web3 wallet, OKX) integrate decentralized RWA protocols like Plume's Nest. This provides users with familiar interfaces and customer support while leveraging on-chain yield.
  • Market Growth Drivers: The RWA market grew 4x in 2025, from $5 billion to nearly $20 billion (excluding stablecoins). This growth is attributed to increased visibility via data platforms like RWA.xyz and a collective effort to define market metrics.

"It's not on-chain versus off-chain anymore. Everything is moving on-chain... The question is centralized versus decentralized." – Host

Duration Risk and Liquidity Solutions

  • Duration Defined: Duration refers to the period funds remain locked in an asset. It applies to both principal and yield. T-bills have short durations (T+1/T+2), while real estate or emerging market loans can have durations of 15 months or more.
  • Yield-Duration Correlation: Generally, longer durations correlate with higher yields. However, crypto users prioritize instant liquidity, creating a mismatch with many traditional RWA structures.
  • Plume's Liquidity Strategy: Plume's aggregate vaults combine multiple RWA assets to achieve high yield, short duration, and composability. These vaults include a healthy liquidity buffer, allowing users to withdraw funds instantly, even if the underlying assets have longer durations.
  • AML Compliance: Plume implements AML checks at the sequencer, chain, and bridge levels, partnering with firms like Chainalysis, Elliptic, and TRM to ensure regulatory compliance for institutional assets, even with non-KYC user access.

"People are used to being able to say, 'Look, I'd rather have incredible risk... but at least I can pull my money out anytime.' – Chris Yin

2026 Outlook: Rate Cuts, Private Credit, and Market Expansion

  • Rate Cut Impact: Lower Fed rates will reduce borrowing costs for fiat and stablecoins, potentially widening the spread for RWA looping strategies. It will also drive capital into higher-yield assets as T-bill returns diminish.
  • Private Credit Focus: Private credit and alternative high-yield assets are gaining prominence. These assets offer uncorrelated yields (14-17%) that are less affected by interest rate cuts, making them attractive in a declining rate environment.
  • Market Growth Projections: Analysts predict the RWA market will grow 25-50x in 2026, reaching $400 billion to $800 billion. This expansion will be fueled by a scramble for yield and increased institutional and retail participation.
  • Investment Opportunities: Key investment areas include RWA infrastructure, tooling (lending, borrowing, leverage, insurance protocols), and applications that bring new assets to market. Examples include Plume's Nest, USDS, Sky, Maker, Athena, Morpho, and insurance protocols like Cork.

"As rates go down, borrow rates go down... people are going to want to find more money. It's going to be a mad scramble next year." – Chris Yin

Investor & Researcher Alpha

  • Capital Reallocation: Capital is shifting from low-risk T-bills to higher-yield, longer-duration RWAs like CLOs and private credit. Investors should analyze duration risk and liquidity solutions when evaluating RWA products.
  • Emerging Market Opportunity: Plume's success highlights the massive demand for permissionless, high-yield RWA access in emerging markets, where traditional financial products are inaccessible. This demographic represents a significant growth vector.
  • Infrastructure & Tooling Bet: Direct investment in RWA assets yields fixed returns. To capture exponential growth, focus on infrastructure and application layers (lending protocols, insurance, cross-chain solutions) that facilitate RWA adoption and generate fees from increased volume.

Strategic Conclusion

The RWA market is transitioning from a niche concept to a core component of decentralized finance. Anticipated rate cuts and cryptonative innovation will drive unprecedented growth in 2026, making permissionless, liquid, and composable RWA access the next critical step for global financial inclusion.

Others You May Like